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The 7 Critical Factors For Consistent Profit From a Horse Racing System
We would all like the perfect ‘effortless’ way to evaluate horse racing and pick our winning bets but the process requires a level of knowledge, skill and effort. The good news is that this is a skill that can be learned if you follow my basic guidelines and with some effort it is possible to develop a consistent horse racing program.
There are hundreds of factors to consider when looking at a horse race to determine the winner. Of course we may only be looking for a horse that will make a place, not necessarily first. Thanks to a betting exchange like Betfair we can decide to look at the horses that are likely to lose the race, that is to put them instead of backing them. Finally the betting process can be very profitable if we use training and practice.
After years of experience and study I believe the seven key elements of a profitable racing program are –
1) Horses shape up. Simple and good and how it ran in recent races. One second off a horse’s best chance is about 5 lengths in a decent race!
2) Walking. If the horse has done well recently make sure the race to race is the same. Going hard makes for a very unpredictable race.
3) Course. The expression ‘course horses’ should not be forgotten! Courses vary greatly and some have tight curves, inclines and other factors that can make or break a horse’s run. Track surface is also a key factor – all weather surfaces such as sand favor certain horses.
4) Weight bearing. A simple yet overlooked issue. As the handicapper increases the weight some horses are able to resist the penalty but eventually a point is reached where the horse will slow down.
5) Distance. Most horses have a fair distance although all will have range. Some are born to run, others have the ability to walk long distances. A review of form will tell you what distance the trainer has raced the horse and how it performed.
6) Class. You can’t race in your family saloon against a Formula 1 car and expect to win! This is an often overlooked aspect of a successful horse racing program. Beginners will see a horse finish first or second in its last three races and not see that the race in question is a stepping stone to higher level competition.
7) Trainer and jockey. Like the horse, the trainer and jockey have form to consider as another priority in the horse racing program. Never underestimate the ability of a highly skilled jockey to drive an average horse forward at a crucial time.
I know some people are overcome by the above but believe me if you want to be successful with horse racing and be successful consistently you need to take these into consideration. There are indeed profits to be made in horse racing, whether you back, lay, or consider sophisticated betting strategies such as ‘teaching’ but without learning and effort any success will be short-lived.
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